Sunday, June 20, 2004
Pitching Stats 2 - Home v. Road
With all of the talk about Citizens being a hitter park few people have really talked about the effect that the park is having on Phils pitching stats. Citizens has been having some strange effects. Here are the facts of the case, ladies and gentlemen …
@Citizens Bank: WHIP / ERA
Wolf: 1.20 / 2.82
Myers: 1.21 / 3.52
Millwood: 1.41 / 4.62
Milton: 1.47 / 4.05
Padilla: 1.49 / 5.40
On the Road: WHIP / ERA
Wolf: 1.05 / 3.04
Myers: 1.59 / 4.61
Millwood: 1.56 / 5.13
Milton: 1.64 / 5.08
Padilla: 1.34 / 2.19
The most intriguing difference seems to be with the effect Citizens has on Myers and Padilla: Wolf is uniformly pitching well away and at home, while Milton and Millwood are uniformly pitching badly. (Yes, Milton is pitching badly, though you wouldn’t know it given the fact that he’s 9-1.)
Padilla? He seems to be pitching substantially better on the road than at home. His ERA is less than half on the road than it is at home! The data indicates that Padilla has played badly at home.
Myers, meanwhile, seems to pitch well at home. Bizarrely, given what we’ve been told about Citizen’s cozy contours giving up lots and lots of home runs, Myers has found a way to pitch better at home in a hitters park than on the road.
What really had me intruiged, though, was this:
Strikeouts per 9 innings: (home / away)
Wolf: 5.40 / 6.08
Myers: 6.46 / 6.37
Millwood: 8.76 / 5.70
Milton: 8.91 / 5.77
Padilla: 7.46 / 5.11
Look at the differences between Wolf & Myers and Millwood, Milton & Padilla: Millwood, Milton & Padilla strike out a lot more players at home than they do on the road while Wolf & Milton are fairly consistent. Myers and Wolf have had success at Citizens, and the other three haven't. It suggests that power pitchers accustomed to getting strikeouts are faring very badly at Citizens.
Notice that when Millwood, Milton & Padilla go on the road they strike out fewer guys than Wolf and Myers, but at Citizens they strike out substantially more. This brings up a puzzling question: why do those three have so much success in striking guys out at home and then turn ordinary on the road? (Or, why do Wolf & Myers have so much success by lowering their strikeouts at home and increasing them on the road?) It seems puzzling.
(It occurs, as I write this, that my method of analysis is sort of amateur scientistish: there are bigger variables at work here like whether Myers pitched in rainy conditions, against whom did he pitch, how much run support he got, etc. I draw broad conclusions based on the data before me. If I'm wrong, tell me and don't spare my feelings.)
As I said earlier, the starting pitching has been a bust, with the exception of Wolf. The relievers are turning in a terrific performance:
Home:
Rotation: 1.35 WHIP / 4.08 ERA
Bullpen: 1.33 WHIP ./ 3.94 ERA
Road:
Rotation: 1.47 WHIP / 4.28 ERA
Bullpen: 1.43 WHIP / 4.70 ERA
Each of the Phils relievers reacts differently to Citizens:
Billy Wagner pitches better at Citizens then on the road:
Home: 0.64 WHIP / 1.64 ERA
Road: 0.78 WHIP / 5.00 ERA
Tim Worrell is better on the road:
Home: 1.25 WHIP / 3.57 ERA
Road: 1.19 WHIP / 2.55 ERA
I thought that the stats were very interesting and illuminating. What does everyone else think?
@Citizens Bank: WHIP / ERA
Wolf: 1.20 / 2.82
Myers: 1.21 / 3.52
Millwood: 1.41 / 4.62
Milton: 1.47 / 4.05
Padilla: 1.49 / 5.40
On the Road: WHIP / ERA
Wolf: 1.05 / 3.04
Myers: 1.59 / 4.61
Millwood: 1.56 / 5.13
Milton: 1.64 / 5.08
Padilla: 1.34 / 2.19
The most intriguing difference seems to be with the effect Citizens has on Myers and Padilla: Wolf is uniformly pitching well away and at home, while Milton and Millwood are uniformly pitching badly. (Yes, Milton is pitching badly, though you wouldn’t know it given the fact that he’s 9-1.)
Padilla? He seems to be pitching substantially better on the road than at home. His ERA is less than half on the road than it is at home! The data indicates that Padilla has played badly at home.
Myers, meanwhile, seems to pitch well at home. Bizarrely, given what we’ve been told about Citizen’s cozy contours giving up lots and lots of home runs, Myers has found a way to pitch better at home in a hitters park than on the road.
What really had me intruiged, though, was this:
Strikeouts per 9 innings: (home / away)
Wolf: 5.40 / 6.08
Myers: 6.46 / 6.37
Millwood: 8.76 / 5.70
Milton: 8.91 / 5.77
Padilla: 7.46 / 5.11
Look at the differences between Wolf & Myers and Millwood, Milton & Padilla: Millwood, Milton & Padilla strike out a lot more players at home than they do on the road while Wolf & Milton are fairly consistent. Myers and Wolf have had success at Citizens, and the other three haven't. It suggests that power pitchers accustomed to getting strikeouts are faring very badly at Citizens.
Notice that when Millwood, Milton & Padilla go on the road they strike out fewer guys than Wolf and Myers, but at Citizens they strike out substantially more. This brings up a puzzling question: why do those three have so much success in striking guys out at home and then turn ordinary on the road? (Or, why do Wolf & Myers have so much success by lowering their strikeouts at home and increasing them on the road?) It seems puzzling.
(It occurs, as I write this, that my method of analysis is sort of amateur scientistish: there are bigger variables at work here like whether Myers pitched in rainy conditions, against whom did he pitch, how much run support he got, etc. I draw broad conclusions based on the data before me. If I'm wrong, tell me and don't spare my feelings.)
As I said earlier, the starting pitching has been a bust, with the exception of Wolf. The relievers are turning in a terrific performance:
Home:
Rotation: 1.35 WHIP / 4.08 ERA
Bullpen: 1.33 WHIP ./ 3.94 ERA
Road:
Rotation: 1.47 WHIP / 4.28 ERA
Bullpen: 1.43 WHIP / 4.70 ERA
Each of the Phils relievers reacts differently to Citizens:
Billy Wagner pitches better at Citizens then on the road:
Home: 0.64 WHIP / 1.64 ERA
Road: 0.78 WHIP / 5.00 ERA
Tim Worrell is better on the road:
Home: 1.25 WHIP / 3.57 ERA
Road: 1.19 WHIP / 2.55 ERA
I thought that the stats were very interesting and illuminating. What does everyone else think?
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http://tinyurl.com/2xxp98
A gentleman from New York discovered what he calls an "oversight" on the part of 99.9% of all marketers that allows him to get otherwise paid-for advertising at Google as well as all other search engines that allow sponsored ads.
http://tinyurl.com/2xxp98
And no, nothing about his "secret" is illegal - nor does it require that you know someone on the "inside" at Google, Yahoo, MSN, Overture and others.
Instead, the New Yorker boasts proudly "...this is something that I caught onto just before 2000 when there was so much search engine craze running around, and started doing small just to test things at first ... but which I later expanded on after getting the hang of it."
This same fellow went on to start and operate sixteen separate online companies selling everything from pet food, DVDs, children's toys & games, books, software, and sold not only his own manufactured products but became an affiliate for other web businesses - all the while applying his mastermind secret.
http://tinyurl.com/2xxp98
Over the course of nearly eight years the New Englander confesses "I've actually gotten over $87 million in advertising that using my secret I never had to pay for ... and the largest share of which was more recently in Google pay-per-clicks as well as other forms of pad advertising at search engines ... all of which I got for free ..."
So powerful is his secret that he's able to monopolize any niche online, and can always secure the top premium spots just above the usual organic results featured at most search engines.
He still has to set up an account with the search engines - but after applying his secret he is removed from having to pay for all the costs otherwise involved.
Again, nothing about his secret is either illegal or robs from the search engines.
One spokesperson from one of the most popular search engines said chuckling after being made privy to this amazing secret "Wow! Ha! This is really unique ... and in my expert opinion it would only serve to enhance and bring more business to us at [name of search engine withheld for legal & confidentiality reasons] and not cause us to lose business in the slightest. Amazing!"
The northerner revealed that in this nearly eight years' period of time since applying his secret he's done well over $300 million in sales revenue with a most diverse line of products, and most recently in the last two years netted nearly $166 million after really "buckling down and pressing my secret to its fullest potential."
Now to everyone else's fortune, the city slicker is releasing his secret for getting an unlimited amount of pay-per-click ads to the general public. But he's not promising any of us for how long.
A bit of an eccentric, the gentleman says "We'll see just how long I can make it available before it saturates things."
One famous public web guru pointed out that although this man may gain economically more so as a result of the publication of his secret "he's already so amazingly rich that whether he continues or discontinues its sale will neither make nor break the man, but not grabbing it for yourself while it's still available could prove disastrous for you as you may only have one chance, and a very limited one at that, to get this."
It is currently available at:
http://tinyurl.com/2xxp98
...so you may want to head on over there now and get it.
It's in a very easily readable format and is quickly and readily understood and mastered by anyone with even a 4th grade reading level.
While you're there, why not scroll down and review for yourself the huge successes others are now having with this incredible breakthrough in targeted advertising now made freely available to the rest of us?
To your success,
Phil Forbes
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AimTrust is what you haven`t ever dreamt of such a chance to become rich
The company incorporates an offshore structure with advanced asset management technologies in production and delivery of pipes for oil and gas.
It is based in Panama with structures around the world.
Do you want to become a happy investor?
That`s your chance That`s what you desire!
I`m happy and lucky, I started to take up income with the help of this company,
and I invite you to do the same. If it gets down to choose a correct companion who uses your money in a right way - that`s the AimTrust!.
I earn US$2,000 per day, and my first investment was 500 dollars only!
It`s easy to get involved , just click this link http://hacyfuxyca.jamminweb.com/idujas.html
and lucky you`re! Let`s take our chance together to get rid of nastiness of the life
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