Saturday, August 07, 2004
The Trend is Nothing Good ...
Sorry for the long delay, I’ve been busy with moving and helping my fiancée finalize some of our wedding plans. It has been tough, but I’ve finally carved out a few minutes to chew on the Phils woes. Good news is their sweep of the Padres helps them quite a bit in the race for the wildcard and keeps the team’s bizarre dominance of NL West teams (17-5; 39-47 against the rest of baseball) alive.
Individual stats… (team v. team, later…)
Starters: (GPA / ISO / RC27)
Thome: .334 / .340 / 8.61
Abreu: .332 / .226 / 9.48
Bell: .271 / .171 / 5.43
Burrell: .283 / .196 / 6.20
Rollins: .250 / .127 / 5.05
Polanco: .241 / .095 / 4.12
Lieberthal: .248 / .169 / 4.23
Byrd: .207 / .075 / 2.79
Bench: (GPA / ISO / RC27)
Michaels: .253 / .083 / 4.71
Glanville: .203 / .054 / 3.02
Utley: .261 / .221 / 5.23
Pratt: .219 / .037 / 2.73
Perez: .241 / .205 / 4.47
What the stats mean:
GPA (Gross Productive Average): (1.8 * .OBP + .SLG) / 4 = .GPA
ISO (Isolated Power): .SLG - .BA = .ISO
RC27 (Runs Created per 27 Outs): ESPN’s formula for Runs Created is simply too complex for me to replicate easily here. This is their stat based on what a hypothetical team of nine of the same player would score.
Byrd has played four games in his return engagement from Scranton. Thus far: 3 for 14 (.214 BA), with two runs and two RBIs. Too soon to tell. Let’s see if he starts drawing walks. He has none thus far.
BB/PA:
Thome: .154
Abreu: .181
Bell: .109
Burrell: .150
Rollins: .069
Polanco: .063
Lieberthal: .068
Byrd: .071
Bench:
Michaels: .184
Glanville: .058
Utley: .028
Pratt: .045
Perez: .106
Misc. thoughts: … Jimmy Rollins hasn’t drawn a walk since July 23. That’s 56 AB’s without a walk … On the plus, side, he’s gotten hits in 15 of his last 17 games, so he has been getting on base, but the question is if he’ll continue to do so consistently … Thome has 6 RBI’s in his last 17 games, and hasn’t had a multi-RBI game since July 17. Meanwhile, Burrell's been hitting .221 since the beginning of June (so his trip to the DL might be a blessing in disguise ... ), etc. Yeah, I’d be nervous right now if I'm Ed Wade and Larry Bowa. This team is starting to seriously slip at the plate. Don't be fooled by the fact that they are in second right now. This team will finish third.
Individual stats… (team v. team, later…)
Starters: (GPA / ISO / RC27)
Thome: .334 / .340 / 8.61
Abreu: .332 / .226 / 9.48
Bell: .271 / .171 / 5.43
Burrell: .283 / .196 / 6.20
Rollins: .250 / .127 / 5.05
Polanco: .241 / .095 / 4.12
Lieberthal: .248 / .169 / 4.23
Byrd: .207 / .075 / 2.79
Bench: (GPA / ISO / RC27)
Michaels: .253 / .083 / 4.71
Glanville: .203 / .054 / 3.02
Utley: .261 / .221 / 5.23
Pratt: .219 / .037 / 2.73
Perez: .241 / .205 / 4.47
What the stats mean:
GPA (Gross Productive Average): (1.8 * .OBP + .SLG) / 4 = .GPA
ISO (Isolated Power): .SLG - .BA = .ISO
RC27 (Runs Created per 27 Outs): ESPN’s formula for Runs Created is simply too complex for me to replicate easily here. This is their stat based on what a hypothetical team of nine of the same player would score.
Byrd has played four games in his return engagement from Scranton. Thus far: 3 for 14 (.214 BA), with two runs and two RBIs. Too soon to tell. Let’s see if he starts drawing walks. He has none thus far.
BB/PA:
Thome: .154
Abreu: .181
Bell: .109
Burrell: .150
Rollins: .069
Polanco: .063
Lieberthal: .068
Byrd: .071
Bench:
Michaels: .184
Glanville: .058
Utley: .028
Pratt: .045
Perez: .106
Misc. thoughts: … Jimmy Rollins hasn’t drawn a walk since July 23. That’s 56 AB’s without a walk … On the plus, side, he’s gotten hits in 15 of his last 17 games, so he has been getting on base, but the question is if he’ll continue to do so consistently … Thome has 6 RBI’s in his last 17 games, and hasn’t had a multi-RBI game since July 17. Meanwhile, Burrell's been hitting .221 since the beginning of June (so his trip to the DL might be a blessing in disguise ... ), etc. Yeah, I’d be nervous right now if I'm Ed Wade and Larry Bowa. This team is starting to seriously slip at the plate. Don't be fooled by the fact that they are in second right now. This team will finish third.
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