Wednesday, November 10, 2004
Congrats to Bay / Crosby / Clemens ...
Jason Bay and Bobby Crosby were named the NL and AL Rookies of the Year for 2004. A few thoughts...
In the AL race, Crosby was the consensus winner: getting 27 of the 28 first-place votes. Defensively, Crosby was probably as good or better than Gold Glover Derek Jeter (.870 ZR to Jeter's pedestrian .847) and he showed real power (22 home runs) at the shortstop position like Miguel Tejada, although his 141 strikeouts were very un-A's like.
It is worth noting that the A's Walt Weiss won the rookie of the year award playing shortstop for the 1988 team...
The vote was closer with Bay in the NL: 25 to 7 first-place votes over the Padres Kahlil Greene. Bay had a terrific year at the plate (.550 slugging percentage) and made Pirates fans forget about the team's decision to deal Brian Giles.
Meanwhile, Roger Clemens won his first NL Cy Young award and seventh overall. I do not agree with the writers call here: I think that the writers were probably seduced by Clemens 18-4 win-loss record, especially when compared with Johnson's 16-14. But Johnson had a better ERA (2.60 to 2.98), a better WHIP (0.90 to 1.16), more strikeouts (290 to 218).
Applying sabremetrics the difference is much more stark: Johnson's FIP ERA was 2.33. Clemens? 3.14. Johnson's DIPS ERA is 2.44 to Clemens 3.21. Plus, Clemens got nearly a full run more than Johnson did from his teammates.
The numbers don't lie: Randy Johnson outpitched Roger Clemens.
MLB announces the AL Cy Young on thursday. Let's hope they give it to the Twins' Santana.
In the AL race, Crosby was the consensus winner: getting 27 of the 28 first-place votes. Defensively, Crosby was probably as good or better than Gold Glover Derek Jeter (.870 ZR to Jeter's pedestrian .847) and he showed real power (22 home runs) at the shortstop position like Miguel Tejada, although his 141 strikeouts were very un-A's like.
It is worth noting that the A's Walt Weiss won the rookie of the year award playing shortstop for the 1988 team...
The vote was closer with Bay in the NL: 25 to 7 first-place votes over the Padres Kahlil Greene. Bay had a terrific year at the plate (.550 slugging percentage) and made Pirates fans forget about the team's decision to deal Brian Giles.
Meanwhile, Roger Clemens won his first NL Cy Young award and seventh overall. I do not agree with the writers call here: I think that the writers were probably seduced by Clemens 18-4 win-loss record, especially when compared with Johnson's 16-14. But Johnson had a better ERA (2.60 to 2.98), a better WHIP (0.90 to 1.16), more strikeouts (290 to 218).
Applying sabremetrics the difference is much more stark: Johnson's FIP ERA was 2.33. Clemens? 3.14. Johnson's DIPS ERA is 2.44 to Clemens 3.21. Plus, Clemens got nearly a full run more than Johnson did from his teammates.
The numbers don't lie: Randy Johnson outpitched Roger Clemens.
MLB announces the AL Cy Young on thursday. Let's hope they give it to the Twins' Santana.
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