Wednesday, December 22, 2004
Telemaco: 4.31 ERA v. 5.81 FIP ERA (.759 DER); 0.90 G/F ratio; 2.0 hr/9
Geary: 5.44 ERA v. 5.33 FIP ERA (.692 DER); 0.89 G/F ratio; 1.6 hr/9
FIP – Fielding Independent Pitching: [13*HR+3*BB-2*K / IP + League Factor]
DER – Defense Efficiency Ratio: % of balls put into play fielders turn into outs.
G/F – Groundball-to-Flyball ratio.
Hr/9 – Home Runs allowed per nine innings.
Analysis: apparently the Phillies didn’t get the memo about flyball pitchers being bad news at Citizen’s Bank. After Paul Abbott and Josh Hancock, Telemaco’s two home runs per nine innings were the worst on the team. Geary was right behind him. These are both flyball pitchers and it isn’t good to staff your relief corps with guys who put the ball into the air … To Geary’s credit, he did pitch slightly better than his ERA reflects, but Telemaco’s 4.31 ERA is a mirage: his FIP is over a run and a half higher, and he benefitted from good defense in 2004. He’ll get hit hard in 2005.
I don’t like either move. Grumble, grumble.