Tuesday, July 31, 2007
What did the Phillies get? Well, they have a pitcher who is 6-12 with a 4.58 ERA. 1.1 HR/9, 2.3 BB/9, and 5.5 K/9 … Decent stats, but nothing to shake a stick at. His FIP ERA is 4.47 … Who exactly are the Phillies going to demote to make room for Lohse? Eaton? Durbin? Hamels and Moyer are out and Kyle kenderick has been pitching very well, so this is a deal that doesn’t exactly make sense – sure the rotation is a little thin at times, but the team had patched things together.
Confused about what I’m talking about? Here are the stats I refer to defined:
ERA – Earned Run Average: (Earned Runs * 9) / IP = ERA
FIP – Fielding Independent Pitching: (13*HR+3*BB-2*K / IP) + League Factor Evaluates a pitching by how he would have done with an average defense behind him by keeping track of things that a pitcher can control (walks, strikeouts, home runs allowed) as opposed to things he cannot (hits allowed, runs allowed).
HR/9 – Home Runs allowed per nine innings: (HR * 9) / IP
BB/9 – Walks per nine innings: (BB * 9) / IP
K/9 – Strikeouts per nine innings: (K * 9) / IP
The Phillies have up an absurdly strong prospect. Maloney was the pitcher of the year in the South Atlantic League in 2006 and has been thoroughly dominant at every level of the minors he’s pitched at. He’ll be a front-line starter with the Reds in 2009 for sure, if not sooner. The Phillies mortgaged a little of their future with this deal. It had better pay off.
Simply put: Kyle Lohse is not the impact pitcher who can alter a pennant race. He’s a talented pitcher with some experience, he’s got some decent stats, but the idea that Lohse justifies the Phillies dealing away one of their prime minor league prospects is absurd.
Not too many other deals so far, aside from Mark Teixeira going to the Braves, who coughed up some talent to get him. Teixeira will help the Braves for sure, but I don’t think that the Braves are getting the impact player they are assuming they are.
Prediction for today: Jermaine Dye to the Yankees, and Eric Gagne to the Tigers.
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